(Worthy News) – According to IDF estimations, the likelihood of Israel initiating a war in the next year remains low, both due to the turmoil in the Middle East which is keeping many of Israel’s enemies busy, and because of Israel’s current deterrence abilities. Even so, the likelihood of a severe incident leading to an escalation and even a war has increased, and is being described by the IDF as “moderate.” This is due to the tension along Israel’s borders, especially the ones in the north and near the Gaza Strip.
Even so, Israel believes that Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as other jihadist organizations near the border – some of whom are as close as several hundred meters away from reaching Israeli school buses in the Golan Heights – are deterred by the IDF, which is considered an “aggressive and unpredictable” player. [ Source ]
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